ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Champaign
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kozlov
⚔️ The Gladiator
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,418 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Keegan Smith here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kozlov | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -17.4% | +15.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.74u | +2.84u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Kozlov
1
Smith
Feb 6, 2026
Cleveland Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 12, 2021
Champaign
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kozlov's 75%).
| Opponent | Kozlov | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 26 64 67 | W 57 60 63 |
| Raphael Perot | W 63 61 | W 63 76 |
| Nathan Ponwith | W 75 64 | W 76 62 |
| Tyler Zink | W 64 61 | W 63 67 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kozlov | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.2% | 71.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 63.6% | 73.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 42.2% | 57% |
| Aces / Match | 1.5 | 6.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 1.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 45.7% | 64.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.8% | 28% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48% | 44.2% |
| BP Converted % | 43% | 36.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 29.7 | 25.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 44.7 | 24.8 |
| Net Pts Won % | 67.3% | 47.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.7% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Copa Faulconbridge · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 12
Mario Mansilla Diez
Copa Faulconbridge · 1st Round Qualifying
May 11
Nick Hardt
Savannah Challenger · Round of 16
Apr 22
Daniil Glinka
Savannah Challenger · Round of 32
Apr 20
Strong Kirchheimer
Tallahassee Tennis Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Alex Bolt
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Rio Noguchi
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Finn Bass
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Ben Jones
Lexus Birmingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Matchup overview
Stefan Kozlov and Keegan Smith face off in the Round of 16 at Champaign on Hard.
Stefan Kozlov leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Stefan Kozlov is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alejo Sanchez Quilez (May 12).
Keegan Smith is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Bolt (Jun 10).
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