Grand Slam · Final · US Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stephens
⚙️ Grinder
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 63% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,774 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Madison Keys here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stephens | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.74 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -68.2% | +79.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.41u | +11.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
5
Stephens
2
Keys
Aug 30, 2021
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 10, 2021
Rome
C Clay · Round of 64
Apr 5, 2021
Charleston 1
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 1, 2019
Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 28, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 28, 2017
US Open
H Hard · Final
Mar 23, 2015
Miami
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (33% vs Stephens's 0%).
| Opponent | Stephens | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Renata Zarazua | L 26 06 | L 76 67 57 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 36 26 | L 64 26 46 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 67 26 | W 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Stephens | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.6% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 48.7% | 71.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.8% | 43.7% |
| Aces / Match | 0.8 | 5.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.2% | 43.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 25.1% | 39% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 39.4% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 49.1% | 56.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 40.1% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sloane Stephens and Madison Keys face off in the Final at US Open on Hard.
Sloane Stephens leads 5-2 over 7 previous meetings.
Sloane Stephens is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sara Bejlek (May 25).
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Karolina Muchova (Jun 18).
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