ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Granby
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shimabukuro
🎯 Baseliner
Noguchi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sho Shimabukuro here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shimabukuro | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -4.2% | +20.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.72u | +3.11u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Shimabukuro
1
Noguchi
Oct 29, 2025
Seoul
H Hard · Round of 16
Jul 17, 2025
Granby
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 23, 2025
Gwangju
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimabukuro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Noguchi's 30%).
| Opponent | Shimabukuro | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Keegan Smith | L 75 06 36 | L 36 64 26 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | W 75 64 | L 06 36 |
| Petr Bar Biryukov | W 64 75 | W 62 75 |
| Coleman Wong | W 64 63 | L 67 26 |
| Yu Hsiou Hsu | W 76 26 63 | W 75 62 |
| Alex Bolt | W 62 67 63 | L 67 67 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 63 76 | W 57 76 63 |
| Maximus Jones | W 36 63 64 | L 64 16 26 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 57 63 26 | L 57 64 36 |
| Sergey Fomin | W 46 75 75 | L 76 46 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Shimabukuro | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59% | 66.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 76.5% | 69.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 54.6% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 7.3 | 2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.8% | 67.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.6% | 34.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.9% | 57.5% |
| BP Converted % | 50.2% | 50.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.2 | 27.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 19.6 | 27.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75.5% | 60% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.5% | 53.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 57% |
Last five matches per player
Clement Tabur
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 16
Hamish Stewart
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Paul Jubb
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Keegan Smith
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Patrick Brady
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Matchup overview
Sho Shimabukuro and Rio Noguchi face off in the Round of 16 at Granby on Hard.
Sho Shimabukuro leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Sho Shimabukuro is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Frances Tiafoe (Jun 17).
Rio Noguchi is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Clement Tabur (Jun 16).
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