ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Jinan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Tomic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,621 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Bernard Tomic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mochizuki | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.40 | 1.78 |
| ROI % | -39.5% | -40.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.34u | -3.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Mochizuki
1
Tomic
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Mochizuki and Tomic posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Mochizuki | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Mejia | W 62 62 | W 67 63 64 |
| Stefano Travaglia | L 36 67 | L 36 16 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 64 26 26 | L 57 67 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 64 63 | L 36 67 |
| Coleman Wong | L 67 36 | W 76 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mochizuki | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 55.3% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.9% | 63.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 46.1% | 52.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 2.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5.3 | 1.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.8% | 59% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.3% | 23.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 53.2% | 42.9% |
| BP Converted % | 48.1% | 53.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.6 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.6 | 26.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55.2% | 71.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 45.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 36% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Keegan Smith
Morelia Open · Round of 32
Mar 23
Jay Clarke
Miami Open presented by Itau · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Mariano Navone
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 16
Mar 12
Nicolas Mejia
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 32
Mar 11
Benjamin Bonzi
BNP Paribas Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 3
Borna Gojo
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Gijs Brouwer
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open · Round of 16
Feb 18
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
Chaca Challenger Metepec Open · Round of 32
Feb 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 8
Krish Arora
Nexo Dallas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 8
Matchup overview
Shintaro Mochizuki and Bernard Tomic face off in the Quarterfinals at Jinan on Hard.
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Keegan Smith (Mar 23).
Bernard Tomic is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Borna Gojo (Feb 20).
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