ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Jinan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Tomic
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Bernard Tomic here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mochizuki | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -22.0% | -41.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.32u | -4.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Mochizuki
1
Tomic
Oct 10, 2025
Jinan
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 25, 2025
Morelia
H Hard · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mochizuki has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Tomic's 33%).
| Opponent | Mochizuki | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 76 75 | L 57 67 |
| Michael Zheng | W 76 36 76 | W 64 63 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 46 75 36 | L 76 26 57 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 67 46 | L 36 36 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 62 62 | W 67 63 64 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | W 64 63 | L 36 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mochizuki | Tomic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.9% | 60.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 70.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 6.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 28.6% | 63.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.5% | 32.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.6% | 48.3% |
| BP Converted % | 57.6% | 47.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.4 | 29 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30 | 35 |
| Net Pts Won % | 78.9% | 41.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.2% | 50.8% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Michael Zheng
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Sander Jong
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Sho Shimabukuro
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Libema Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
Conor Gannon
Dublin Challenger · Round of 32
Jun 8
Hayato Matsuoka
Texas Spine and Joint Men's Championship · Round of 32
Jun 3
Michael Mmoh
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Quarterfinals
May 30
Blaise Bicknell
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · Round of 32
May 25
Matchup overview
Shintaro Mochizuki and Bernard Tomic face off in the Quarterfinals at Jinan on Hard.
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Remy Bertola (Jun 18).
Bernard Tomic is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Benjamin Bonzi (Jun 8).
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