ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Milan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mochizuki
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paulson
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andrew Paulson here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mochizuki | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 3–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 1.96 |
| ROI % | -22.0% | -9.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.32u | -0.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Mochizuki
0
Paulson
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paulson has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Mochizuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Mochizuki | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Arnaboldi | L 67 64 26 | W 61 60 |
| Francesco Maestrelli | L 67 63 46 | W 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mochizuki | Paulson |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.9% | 65.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.5% | 61.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 37.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 4.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 28.6% | 47.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.5% | 32.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.6% | 50.9% |
| BP Converted % | 57.6% | 31.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 23.4 | 27 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 30 | 45.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 78.9% | 51.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.2% | 45.5% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Remy Bertola
Lexus Nottingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Michael Zheng
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Sander Jong
Libema Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 6
Sho Shimabukuro
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Daniel Michalski
Unicredit Czech Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Sergio Callejon Hernando
Open Menorca · Round of 16
Apr 3
Fabrizio Andaloro
Open Menorca · Round of 32
Apr 2
Federico Arnaboldi
Open Menorca · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 1
Matchup overview
Shintaro Mochizuki and Andrew Paulson face off in the Round of 32 at Milan on Clay.
Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Shintaro Mochizuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Remy Bertola (Jun 18).
Andrew Paulson is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniel Michalski (May 31).
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