ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Nur-Sultan 2
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ofner
💥 Big Hitter
Skatov
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,566 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Sebastian Ofner here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ofner | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–5 | 3–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +16.4% | -59.1% |
| Units P/L | +3.44u | -7.09u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Ofner
0
Skatov
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ofner | Skatov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 95% | 20/21 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 17/21 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 14/21 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 5/21 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 2/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 5% | 1/21 | 0% | 0/12 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ofner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Skatov's 25%).
| Opponent | Ofner | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Hugo Gaston | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
| Jurij Rodionov | W 62 36 63 | L 63 26 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 62 | L 63 46 67 |
| Justin Engel | W 64 64 | W 64 26 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Ofner | Skatov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58.9% | 60.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 77.3% | 69.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 55.8% | 47.3% |
| Aces / Match | 7.1 | 3.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 49.1% | 62% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.6% | 29.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.4% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 47.2% | 50% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24 | 18.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.3 | 28.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63% | 66.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.8% | 49.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 83% | 17% |
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 14
Patrick Kypson
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 12
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Pablo Carreno Busta
Montemar ENE Construccion · Semifinals
Mar 28
Marco Cecchinato
Montemar ENE Construccion · Quarterfinals
Mar 27
Matchup overview
Sebastian Ofner and Timofey Skatov face off in the Round of 16 at Nur-Sultan 2 on Hard.
Sebastian Ofner leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Sebastian Ofner is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Apr 14).
Timofey Skatov is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Oleg Prihodko (Apr 21).
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