ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Bastad
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Kjaer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🧱 The Wall vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,868 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Sebastian Baez plays Nicolai Budkov Kjaer.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -32.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -4.92u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Baez
0
Kjaer
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Baez | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W 64 62 | W 61 62 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 64 63 | W 76 67 62 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 06 | L 36 26 |
| Reilly Opelka | L 36 46 | L 46 36 46 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 75 36 57 | W 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 63.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 64.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.1% | 47.3% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.8% | 54.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 32.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 49.9% |
| BP Converted % | 54.3% | 38.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 16.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.5 | 27.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.5% | 66.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.9% | 48.7% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 43% | 53% |
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
August Holmgren
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Tom Gentzsch
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer face off in the Round of 16 at Bastad on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mackenzie McDonald (Jun 14).
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