ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 58% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,830 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for David Goffin here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | +9.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | +0.59u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Baez
1
Goffin
Aug 7, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 128
Jun 30, 2022
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Goffin's 75%).
| Opponent | Baez | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | W 63 62 | W 63 61 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 75 63 | L 46 26 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 63 | W 26 63 63 |
| Ben Shelton | W 75 63 | W 62 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 52.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 70.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.1% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.8% | 36.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 34.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 46.9% |
| BP Converted % | 54.3% | 43.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 25.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.5 | 41.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.5% | 70.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.9% | 49% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Open Aix Provence Crédit Agricole · Round of 32
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and David Goffin face off in the Round of 128 at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati on Hard.
Sebastian Baez leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
David Goffin is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Toby Samuel (May 20).
Share this match
