ATP 250 · Semifinals · Bastad
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Rublev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,477 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Andrey Rublev here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | -26.9% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.04u | -1.33u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Baez
0
Rublev
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rublev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Baez | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan Boyer | W 62 64 | W 63 63 57 76 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 36 67 | L 36 67 64 62 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 62 | W 61 16 63 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 63 | W 63 67 63 75 |
| Tomas Machac | L 62 46 16 | W 64 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 36 | L 67 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 76 61 | L 76 26 46 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 57 46 | L 76 67 36 |
| Valentin Royer | L 26 36 | W 63 64 |
| Jaime Faria | L 57 16 | W 64 63 46 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Rublev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.5% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 70.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.2% | 53.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 56.3% | 58.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 37% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.9% | 53.1% |
| BP Converted % | 54% | 41.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 13.3 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 21.5 | 19.9 |
| Net Pts Won % | 55.7% | 64.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.3% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 69% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Andrey Rublev face off in the Semifinals at Bastad on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Andrey Rublev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Hubert Hurkacz (Jun 16).
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