ATP 250 · Finals · Santiago
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baez
🧱 The Wall
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 63% vs 🧱 The Wall across 1,483 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alejandro Tabilo here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baez | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -8.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.50u | -1.29u |
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
3
Baez
1
Tabilo
Feb 27, 2026
BCI Seguros Chile Open
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 3, 2024
Santiago
C Clay · Finals
Feb 4, 2022
Cordoba
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Mar 1, 2021
Buenos Aires
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tabilo has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baez's 30%).
| Opponent | Baez | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Michelsen | L 57 36 | L 63 36 46 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 75 57 57 | W 62 61 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 63 | W 64 60 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 61 | L 63 67 46 |
| Valentin Royer | L 26 36 | W 62 64 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 06 | L 46 26 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 26 | W 76 67 75 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 46 36 | L 61 57 36 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 75 63 | W 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Baez | Tabilo |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.3% | 64.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.3% | 71.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.1% | 50.2% |
| Aces / Match | 2.1 | 5.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.8% | 58.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 27.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 56.1% | 47.7% |
| BP Converted % | 54.3% | 30.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 15.6 | 24.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.5 | 25.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 58.5% | 71.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.9% | 49.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 43% | 69% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sebastian Baez and Alejandro Tabilo face off in the Finals at Santiago on Clay.
Sebastian Baez leads 3-1 over 4 previous meetings.
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Alejandro Tabilo is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rinky Hijikata (Jun 16).
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