ITF W100 · Round of 16 · W100 Incheon
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Saito
⚔️ The Gladiator
Kawaguchi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 2,557 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Sara Saito plays Natsumi Kawaguchi.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Saito | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | +7.4% | -29.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.81u | -2.98u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Saito
1
Kawaguchi
Jan 12, 2026
W75 Nonthaburi
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 22, 2025
W100 Incheon
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kawaguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Saito's 43%).
| Opponent | Saito | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Erika Sema | L | W 61 75 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | L 16 36 | L 26 26 |
| Kisa Yoshioka | W 75 61 | W |
| Katie Swan | L 46 46 | L 46 67 |
| Eri Shimizu | L 46 64 46 | W 60 63 |
| Laquisa Khan | W 62 62 | W 76 61 |
| Yidi Yang | W 75 42 | W 36 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Saito | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.8% | 59.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 53.2% | 69.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 39.3% | 48.5% |
| Aces / Match | 0.3 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 6.3 | 3.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.6% | 51% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 40.6% | 41.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 60.6% | 46.6% |
| BP Converted % | 44.2% | 52.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.6% | 52.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Sara Saito and Natsumi Kawaguchi face off in the Round of 16 at W100 Incheon on Hard.
Sara Saito leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Sara Saito is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Erika Sema (Jun 24).
Natsumi Kawaguchi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ya Yi Yang (Jun 25).
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