ITF W75 · Round of 16 · W75 Nonthaburi
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kawaguchi
💥 Big Hitter
Saito
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,557 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Natsumi Kawaguchi plays Sara Saito.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kawaguchi | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–6 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.03 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | -29.8% | +7.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.98u | +0.81u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Kawaguchi
1
Saito
Jan 12, 2026
W75 Nonthaburi
H Hard · Round of 16
Sep 22, 2025
W100 Incheon
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kawaguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Saito's 43%).
| Opponent | Kawaguchi | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Erika Sema | W 61 75 | L |
| Kisa Yoshioka | W | W 75 61 |
| Hayu Kinoshita | L 26 26 | L 16 36 |
| Eri Shimizu | W 60 63 | L 46 64 46 |
| Katie Swan | L 46 67 | L 46 46 |
| Laquisa Khan | W 76 61 | W 62 62 |
| Yidi Yang | W 36 63 63 | W 75 42 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kawaguchi | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.5% | 66.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 69.1% | 53.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.5% | 39.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3 | 0.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.6 | 6.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51% | 51.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 41.7% | 40.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.6% | 60.6% |
| BP Converted % | 52.7% | 44.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.7% | 47.6% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Natsumi Kawaguchi and Sara Saito face off in the Round of 16 at W75 Nonthaburi on Hard.
Natsumi Kawaguchi leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Natsumi Kawaguchi is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ya Yi Yang (Jun 25).
Sara Saito is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Erika Sema (Jun 24).
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