ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 64 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Reilly Opelka plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.56 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Opelka
0
Busta
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Opelka's 50%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 57 75 75 |
| Francisco Comesana | L 76 46 57 | W 64 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 67 75 64 46 | L 36 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 76 75 | W 36 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 67 36 | L 46 26 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 67 63 | W 63 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 46 36 | L 36 61 46 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 64 26 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Opelka | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.1% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.9% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 10.5 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 33.5% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 10.8% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Matchup overview
Reilly Opelka and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Round of 64 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Reilly Opelka leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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