ATP 500 · Round of 16 · St. Petersburg
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Reilly Opelka and Daniil Medvedev are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 12,532 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.56 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -10.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.36u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Opelka
5
Medvedev
Jul 23, 2025
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 13, 2025
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 15, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Finals
Jun 4, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Oct 10, 2020
St. Petersburg
H Hard · Round of 16
Mar 13, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 1, 2017
Washington
H Hard · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Opelka's 50%).
| Opponent | Opelka | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 76 67 67 | L 67 16 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 46 57 46 | W 63 76 |
| Jack Draper | W 76 76 | W 61 75 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 63 64 | W 64 60 |
| Nuno Borges | W 67 62 76 | W 64 67 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 67 46 | L 67 63 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 67 36 | L 46 06 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 67 75 64 46 | W 63 76 |
| Alexei Popyrin | W 63 76 | L 75 46 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Opelka | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 69.1% | 64.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.9% | 69.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.4% | 50.8% |
| Aces / Match | 10.5 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 5 | 3.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 33.5% | 62.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24% | 32.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 54.5% |
| BP Converted % | 10.8% | 37.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20 | 24.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25 | 27.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.8% | 69% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.9% | 51.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 8
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 12
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 8
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 64
Mar 6
Matchup overview
Reilly Opelka and Daniil Medvedev face off in the Round of 16 at St. Petersburg on Hard.
Reilly Opelka leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Reilly Opelka is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 26).
Daniil Medvedev is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Terence Atmane (Jun 17).
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