ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Sydney
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Nakashima
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Reilly Opelka and Brandon Nakashima are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,656 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Opelka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.78 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +24.8% | -55.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.49u | -5.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Opelka
2
Nakashima
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Opelka and Nakashima posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Opelka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Ethan Quinn | L 57 67 | W 76 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 36 46 | L 36 46 |
| Jack Draper | W 76 76 | L 46 75 46 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 67 36 | L 76 26 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 63 64 | W 63 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 67 75 64 46 | W 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 76 67 63 | L 36 64 67 67 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 57 16 | L 26 67 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 76 67 67 | L 46 06 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Opelka | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 68.9% | 65.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 85% | 74.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 60.4% | 52% |
| Aces / Match | 14.3 | 9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 24.5% | 46.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 20.6% | 26.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.8% | 54.9% |
| BP Converted % | 27.7% | 52.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 31 | 26.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 23.7 | 25 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.6% | 72.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.4% | 51.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 60% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Federico Cina
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 32
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 64
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open presented by Itau · Round of 128
Mar 19
Roberto Bautista Agut
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Nikoloz Basilashvili
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Roberto Bautista Agut
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Alexander Blockx
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Arthur Fils
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · Round of 16
Apr 16
Matchup overview
Reilly Opelka and Brandon Nakashima face off in the Quarterfinals at Sydney on Hard.
Reilly Opelka leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Reilly Opelka is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Federico Cina (May 24).
Brandon Nakashima is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Roberto Bautista Agut (May 25).
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