ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Milan
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jodar
🏹 Frontrunner
Giustino
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 464 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Rafael Jodar here.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jodar | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +10.7% | -51.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | -3.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Jodar
0
Giustino
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Giustino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Jodar's 33%).
| Opponent | Jodar | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Kypson | L 46 46 | L 46 26 |
| Dan Added | L 67 57 | W 63 64 |
| George Loffhagen | W 64 36 64 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jodar | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 60.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.8% | 67.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.4% | 48.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.4 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.9% | 56.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.3% | 29.3% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 47.7% |
| BP Converted % | 36.8% | 39.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.2 | 22.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75% | 74.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 82% | 17% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 2
Pablo Carreno Busta
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Alex Michelsen
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
James Duckworth
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Matchup overview
Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Giustino face off in the Round of 32 at Milan on Clay.
Rafael Jodar leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Rafael Jodar is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexander Zverev (Jun 2).
Lorenzo Giustino is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Maks Kasnikowski (Jun 8).
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