ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · Mutua Madrid Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jong
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,469 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Jesper de Jong here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jodar | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 17–4 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.72 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +10.7% | -2.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | -0.52u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Jodar
0
Jong
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Jong's 30%).
| Opponent | Jodar | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 16 36 | L 67 46 16 |
| Michael Zheng | L 46 57 | L 57 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 75 06 | L 46 63 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 61 46 63 | L 46 67 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 64 | L 36 06 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 75 60 | W 76 75 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 63 63 | W 63 76 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 64 64 | W 64 61 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 64 46 61 | L 67 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 57 46 | L 26 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jodar | Jong |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.9% | 63.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.8% | 72.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.4% | 47.9% |
| Aces / Match | 3.4 | 6.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.9% | 60.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.3% | 35.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.5% | 49.9% |
| BP Converted % | 36.8% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18 | 28.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26.5 | 27.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 76.1% | 72.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.2% | 52% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 82% | 63% |
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
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Jun 2
Pablo Carreno Busta
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Alex Michelsen
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
James Duckworth
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Laslo Djere
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Roberto Carballes Baena
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Enrico Dalla Valle
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Marco Cecchinato
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Federico Bondioli
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Match summary
Rafael Jodar and Jesper de Jong will meet for the first time on April 22, 2026, in the Round of 128 of the Mutua Madrid Open. Jodar, ranked 42nd, faces de Jong, ranked 109th, on the outdoor clay courts of Madrid. This clay-court encounter marks their initial meeting at ATP level.
The two players have no previous head-to-head record. However, their recent results against common opponents provide context; Rafael Jodar has defeated Tomas Machac and Yannick Hanfmann while de Jong lost to both of those players. Against other shared opponents including Benjamin Bonzi, Camilo Ugo Carabelli, and Mitchell Krueger, both players have notched wins.
Rafael Jodar arrives in strong form, having won 8 of his last 10 matches and 4 of his last 5. He has played four matches in the past 14 days and last competed four days before this match. Jesper de Jong comes in with a contrasting trajectory, winning 2 of his last 5 matches and 5 of his last 10. De Jong has played only twice in the past 14 days, with his most recent match 10 days prior.
Jodar employs a counterpunching style, relying on reading opponents and converting defensive positions into offensive opportunities. De Jong relies on power hitting and aggressive shot-making from the baseline. On clay, Jodar holds a 10-4 record this year, while de Jong carries a 12-8 mark. The surface typically rewards consistency and positioning, elements that will factor into how each player's approach develops over the course of the match.
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