WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Rome
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Keys
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 63% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 1,190 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Madison Keys here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stearns | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 2–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 2.08 |
| ROI % | -23.8% | +107.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.19u | +2.15u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Stearns
1
Keys
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Stearns's 22%).
| Opponent | Stearns | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 57 36 | L 36 36 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 06 63 46 | W 64 63 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | W 76 75 | W 61 75 |
| Clara Tauson | L 26 46 | L 16 46 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 63 62 | W 46 63 75 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 16 46 | L 64 36 26 |
| Olga Danilovic | L 67 16 | W 64 62 |
| Eva Lys | L 06 36 | W 16 63 76 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 26 | W 62 61 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Stearns | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 60.9% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.3% | 70.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.8% | 46.1% |
| Aces / Match | 2.9 | 4.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.7% | 58.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.7% | 37.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.8% | 54.4% |
| BP Converted % | 45.9% | 49.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 52.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 50% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Peyton Stearns and Madison Keys face off in the Round of 32 at Rome on Clay.
Peyton Stearns leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Peyton Stearns is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Maria Sakkari (May 17).
Madison Keys is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Peyton Stearns (May 5).
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