Grand Slam · Round of 64 · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 488 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Peyton Stearns plays Daria Kasatkina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stearns | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -31.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.62u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 7 career meetings
2
Stearns
5
Kasatkina
May 17, 2026
Strasbourg
C Clay · Round of 16
Dec 30, 2024
Brisbane
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 64
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 14, 2023
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
May 29, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kasatkina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Stearns's 25%).
| Opponent | Stearns | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 61 | W 76 64 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 46 57 | L 67 63 26 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 46 26 | W 62 63 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | L 36 46 | W 62 46 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Stearns | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.4% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.5% | 53.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.6% | 41% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 7.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54% | 46.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.3% | 37.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.3% | 63.8% |
| BP Converted % | 50.2% | 41.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.1% | 47.9% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 33% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Peyton Stearns and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Round of 64 at Us Open on Hard.
Peyton Stearns leads 2-5 over 7 previous meetings.
Peyton Stearns is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daria Kasatkina (May 17).
Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Peyton Stearns (May 17).
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