ATP 500 · 1st Round Qualifying · Dubai
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,242 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pavel Kotov plays Yosuke Watanuki.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–1 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.62 | 1.04 |
| ROI % | +48.0% | +4.0% |
| Units P/L | +5.28u | +0.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Kotov
2
Watanuki
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Watanuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Cezar Cretu | L 61 16 26 | L 16 46 |
| August Holmgren | W 64 76 | L 46 76 63 67 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.9% | 73.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.5% | 60% |
| Aces / Match | 6.5 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.9 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 59.6% | 50% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.6% | 46.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 44.9% | 57.9% |
| BP Converted % | 46% | 33.3% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.5 | 11 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.3 | 21 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.8% | 100% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.4% | 58.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 91% | 100% |
Last five matches per player
Cezar Cretu
Moldova Open · Round of 32
May 13
Florian Broska
Thionville Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Arthur Nagel
Thionville Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 1
Omar Jasika
NovaWorld Phan Thiet Challenger 1 · Round of 32
Jan 20
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 18
Matchup overview
Pavel Kotov and Yosuke Watanuki face off in the 1st Round Qualifying at Dubai on Hard.
Pavel Kotov leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Pavel Kotov is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Cezar Cretu (May 17).
Yosuke Watanuki is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Cezar Cretu (May 13).
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