ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Beijing
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Zhou
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,431 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pavel Kotov plays Yi Zhou.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.66 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | +29.4% | -57.2% |
| Units P/L | +4.12u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Kotov
0
Zhou
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kotov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Zhou's 40%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Harry Wendelken | W 46 63 64 | L 16 64 16 |
| Fajing Sun | W 76 36 63 | W 76 63 |
| Ilia Simakin | W 26 76 63 | L 57 46 |
| Jie Cui | L 26 63 46 | W 63 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 67 46 | L 64 46 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Zhou |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 64.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 76.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49.7% | 55.5% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 3.6 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.8% | 49.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.1% | 60.6% |
| BP Converted % | 44.9% | 43.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.3 | 14.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 28.5 | 27 |
| Net Pts Won % | 54.3% | 78.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 57.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 92% | 33% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Yi Zhou and Pavel Kotov will meet in the Round of 32 of the Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships on hard court on April 12, 2026. Zhou is ranked 220th while Kotov sits at 262nd, setting up a matchup between two players outside the top 200.
Kotov leads their head to head record 1-0 after the pair met once before. The rivalry remains limited in scope given their single prior meeting, but Kotov holds the advantage from that encounter.
Zhou has struggled in recent weeks, posting a 40% win rate over his last five matches and a 40% win rate over his last ten. He's currently on a one match losing streak and has played four matches in the past two weeks. Kotov, by contrast, is in exceptional form with a perfect 100% win rate across both his last five and last ten matches, riding a ten match winning streak after competing five times in two weeks.
Zhou tends to play as a frontrunner who relies on aggressive starts and momentum, though he's compiled a 50% record on hard court surfaces. Kotov is a baseliner with strong court positioning who has posted a 70% win rate on hard courts, showing particular comfort with the surface and his recent hot play.
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