ATP 500 · 2nd Round Qualifying · Beijing
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kotov
🎯 Baseliner
Baena
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,419 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pavel Kotov here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kotov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–4 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -6.7% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.74u | -5.13u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Kotov
2
Baena
Sep 25, 2024
Beijing
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 6, 2024
Marrakech
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 14, 2022
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Kotov's 50%).
| Opponent | Kotov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Max Hans Rehberg | W 62 64 | W 64 64 |
| Mikhail Kukushkin | L 61 26 36 | W 61 36 62 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 57 26 | L 46 46 |
| Christoph Negritu | W 76 76 | W 16 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kotov | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.2% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.5% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 64.7% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.1% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.9% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 45.7% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 43 | 20.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 72.2% | 49.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.5% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Pavel Kotov and Roberto Carballes Baena face off in the 2nd Round Qualifying at Beijing on Hard.
Pavel Kotov leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Pavel Kotov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Leo Raquillet (Jun 11).
Roberto Carballes Baena is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Ofner (Jun 18).
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