ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Bastad
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 2,807 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pablo Carreno Busta plays Thiago Monteiro.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.59 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | +8.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | +0.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Busta
0
Monteiro
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Busta's 0%).
| Opponent | Busta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 46 26 | L 46 36 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 46 63 36 | W 26 63 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.1% | 61.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 68% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 52.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 3.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 30.6% | 47.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 53.6% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 42.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.3 | 23 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 17 | 33.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 86.7% | 70.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 70% | 67% |
Last five matches per player
Franco Agamenone
Bosphorus Challenger Cup · Quarterfinals
May 21
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Bosphorus Challenger Cup · Round of 32
May 19
Andy Andrade
Zagreb Open · Round of 32
May 13
Pol Martin Tiffon
Bosphorus Challenger Cup · Round of 16
May 13
Andrej Nedic
Zagreb Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 11
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Thiago Monteiro face off in the Round of 16 at Bastad on Clay.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Thiago Monteiro is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Franco Agamenone (May 21).
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