ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Estoril
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pablo Carreno Busta plays Nicolas Jarry.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | 1.56 |
| ROI % | +21.0% | +18.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Busta
0
Jarry
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Jarry's 0%).
| Opponent | Busta | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 64 16 26 26 | L 36 46 |
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | L 61 46 36 |
| Mattia Bellucci | W 64 26 76 | L 36 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | L 46 64 36 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 64 62 67 36 | L 67 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.1% | 65.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 78.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 53.1% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 6.8 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 3.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 30.6% | 62.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 52.3% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 55.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.3 | 25 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 17 | 16 |
| Net Pts Won % | 86.7% | 87.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 53.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 70% | 75% |
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Round of 16
Apr 9
Adam Walton
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 32
Mar 10
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Nicolas Jarry face off in the Quarterfinals at Estoril on Clay.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Nicolas Jarry is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Elmer Moller (Apr 14).
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