ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Metz
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Ymer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Pablo Carreno Busta here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | - |
| ROI % | +21.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Busta
0
Ymer
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Ymer's 0%).
| Opponent | Busta | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | L 46 16 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Ymer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.1% | 0% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 0% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 0% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 30.6% | 0% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 0% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 0% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 0% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.3 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 17 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 86.7% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 0% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Mikael Ymer face off in the Round of 16 at Metz on Hard.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Mikael Ymer is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Elias Ymer (Oct 14).
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