ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Poznan
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Bourgue
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 6,218 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Pablo Carreno Busta plays Mathias Bourgue.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.13 | - |
| ROI % | +21.0% | - |
| Units P/L | +1.26u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Busta
0
Bourgue
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Bourgue |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 71.1% | 0% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.8% | 0% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.9% | 0% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 0.8 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 30.6% | 0% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.2% | 0% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.7% | 0% |
| BP Converted % | 42.2% | 0% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 20.3 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 17 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 86.7% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.9% | 0% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 70% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Damir Dzumhur
Bordeaux · Round of 32
May 13
Antoine Cornut-Chauvinc
St. Brieuc · Round of 32
Oct 15
Jelle Sels
Mouilleron le Captif · Round of 32
Oct 2
Martin Sabas
Mouilleron le Captif · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 30
Jonathan Eysseric
Mouilleron le Captif · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Mathias Bourgue face off in the Round of 16 at Poznan on Clay.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
Mathias Bourgue is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Damir Dzumhur (May 13).
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