ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Hamburg
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🎾 All-Court
Nardi
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
Both Pablo Carreno Busta and Luca Nardi are 🎾 All-Court types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 366 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +27.9% | -9.3% |
| Units P/L | +5.30u | -1.40u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Busta
0
Nardi
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Nardi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 58% | 11/19 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 10 or more | 26% | 5/19 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/15 |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Nardi's 38%).
| Opponent | Busta | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Ofner | W 36 63 64 | W 36 63 62 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 64 | L 67 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 67 46 | L 64 46 26 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 62 64 | W 67 63 64 |
| Billy Harris | W 75 63 | L 36 46 |
| Luka Pavlovic | W 36 61 62 | W 63 75 |
| Daniel Rincon | W 62 62 | L 36 63 36 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | L 26 61 36 | L 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Busta | Nardi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.6% | 60.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70% | 69.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48.7% | 47.7% |
| Aces / Match | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57.9% | 62.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 31.7% | 29.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 48.3% | 44.5% |
| BP Converted % | 50.8% | 39.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 22.7 | 22.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 24.9 | 28.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.2% | 70.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 50.3% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 89% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Montemar ENE Construccion · Final
Mar 29
Sebastian Ofner
Montemar ENE Construccion · Semifinals
Mar 28
Pedro Martinez
Montemar ENE Construccion · Quarterfinals
Mar 27
Svyatoslav Gulin
Montemar ENE Construccion · Round of 32
Mar 24
Roberto Carballes Baena
VII CHALLENGER COSTA CALIDA REGION DE MURCIA · Final
Mar 22
Valentin Royer
Atkinsons Monza Open · Round of 32
Apr 7
Trevor Svajda
BNP Paribas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Jiri Lehecka
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Feb 24
Pablo Carreno Busta
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 22
Marco Trungelliti
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 21
Matchup overview
Pablo Carreno Busta and Luca Nardi face off in the Round of 32 at Hamburg on Clay.
Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (Mar 29).
Luca Nardi is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Valentin Royer (Apr 7).
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