Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Djokovic
💥 Big Hitter
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 2,731 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Novak Djokovic plays Alex de Minaur.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Djokovic | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 12–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.27 | 1.48 |
| ROI % | -45.3% | -4.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.81u | -0.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Djokovic
0
Minaur
Jul 7, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 16
Apr 12, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Minaur's 44%).
| Opponent | Djokovic | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 46 61 62 | L 36 62 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | L 36 46 | L 46 63 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 64 67 62 63 | W 76 26 62 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 64 76 | W 36 76 75 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 62 26 36 57 | L 57 26 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | W 36 63 46 64 64 | L 57 26 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 46 36 31 | L 57 63 57 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 75 36 64 | W 76 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 76 64 | W 75 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Djokovic | Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 70.3% | 62.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.7% | 64.5% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 56.8% | 51.1% |
| Aces / Match | 7.5 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.3% | 55.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.8% | 30.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.1% | 50.5% |
| BP Converted % | 44.8% | 41.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 17 | 18.8 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 26 | 34.4 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.4% | 71.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.7% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Valentin Royer
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 24
Dino Prizmic
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jack Draper
BNP Paribas Open · Round of 16
Mar 11
Matchup overview
Novak Djokovic and Alex de Minaur face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Novak Djokovic leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Novak Djokovic is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Joao Fonseca (May 29).
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
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