ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Rio de Janeiro
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Nicolas Jarry plays Lorenzo Musetti.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jarry | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–1 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 1.69 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -14.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | -1.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Jarry
1
Musetti
Aug 13, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Feb 20, 2023
Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Round of 32
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Musetti has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Jarry's 0%).
| Opponent | Jarry | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Dino Prizmic | L 36 75 26 | W 75 36 62 |
| Cameron Norrie | L 36 67 76 76 36 | L 63 26 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Jarry | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 65.5% | 64.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 78.1% | 70% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.1% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 6.8 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.8 | 1.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 62.9% | 60% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.7% | 31.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.3% | 43.1% |
| BP Converted % | 55.1% | 29.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 21 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 16 | 24 |
| Net Pts Won % | 87.5% | 71.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.1% | 48.8% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 75% | 60% |
Last five matches per player
Elmer Moller
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Grand Prix Open Comunidad de Madrid by Silverway · Round of 16
Apr 9
Adam Walton
Republica Dominicana Open - Copa Cap Cana · Round of 32
Mar 10
Casper Ruud
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 16
May 12
Francisco Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 32
May 10
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 64
May 8
Jiri Lehecka
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 16
Apr 28
Tallon Griekspoor
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 26
Matchup overview
Nicolas Jarry and Lorenzo Musetti face off in the Round of 32 at Rio de Janeiro on Clay.
Nicolas Jarry leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Nicolas Jarry is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Elmer Moller (Apr 14).
Lorenzo Musetti is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Casper Ruud (May 12).
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