ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Challenger Città di Lugano
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
💥 Big Hitter
Nesterov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 4,242 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -32.8% | +40.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.92u | +6.01u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Kjaer
0
Nesterov
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nesterov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kjaer's 50%).
| Opponent | Kjaer | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Gentzsch | L 67 26 | W 76 62 |
| Maximus Jones | W 63 60 | W 36 63 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kjaer | Nesterov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.7% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.9% | 66.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.3% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.3% | 60.2% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.4% | 39.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.9% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 38.1% | 51.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 14.7 | 25.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27 | 20 |
| Net Pts Won % | 65.2% | 79.3% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.7% | 52.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
August Holmgren
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Tom Gentzsch
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Petr Nesterov face off in the Round of 16 at Challenger Città di Lugano on Hard.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mackenzie McDonald (Jun 14).
Petr Nesterov is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Tommaso Compagnucci (Jun 25).
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