ATP Challenger Tour · Semifinals · Thionville Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
⚙️ Grinder
Virtanen
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,616 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Otto Virtanen here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 2.85 |
| ROI % | -32.8% | -20.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.92u | -3.12u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Kjaer
0
Virtanen
May 6, 2026
Internazionali BNL d'Italia
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 7, 2026
Thionville Open
H Hard · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Virtanen has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Kjaer's 33%).
| Opponent | Kjaer | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| August Holmgren | L 06 67 | L 67 26 |
| Pierre-Hugues Herbert | W 62 63 | W 75 64 |
| Luca Nardi | L 36 06 | L 67 26 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 26 36 | L 64 36 26 |
| Patrick Kypson | W 60 63 | L 64 36 46 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 76 67 62 | W 62 64 |
| Marin Cilic | L 57 36 | W 75 64 |
| Clement Tabur | L 57 57 | L 64 67 67 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 46 63 16 | W 61 36 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kjaer | Virtanen |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 63.7% | 59.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.9% | 74.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.3% | 49.7% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 7.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 3.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.3% | 68.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 32.4% | 25.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 49.9% | 46.1% |
| BP Converted % | 38.1% | 38.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 16.9 | 31.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.6 | 33 |
| Net Pts Won % | 66.9% | 64.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.7% | 49.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
August Holmgren
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Tom Gentzsch
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Otto Virtanen face off in the Semifinals at Thionville Open on Hard.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mackenzie McDonald (Jun 14).
Otto Virtanen is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Zhizhen Zhang (Jun 17).
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