ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Mouilleron le Captif
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kjaer
🪃 Counterpuncher
Passaro
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,276 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Francesco Passaro here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kjaer | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–9 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.85 |
| ROI % | -14.2% | +0.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.70u | +0.05u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Kjaer
0
Passaro
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Passaro's 40%).
| Opponent | Kjaer | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 64 64 | W 63 63 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 16 26 | W 75 63 |
| Jan Choinski | W 64 76 | L 67 36 |
| Alex Molcan | W 61 62 | L 36 36 |
| Matej Dodig | L 67 57 | L 36 46 |
| Calvin Hemery | W 62 63 | W 76 62 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 26 36 | L 63 36 46 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 41 34 42 43 | L 26 63 67 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | W 76 67 62 | W 64 36 64 |
| Thiago Monteiro | W 57 63 76 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kjaer | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.6% | 65.6% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.6% | 65.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.6% | 54.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.3 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| Break Points Saved % | 57% | 66.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 35.3% | 29.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54% | 49.2% |
| BP Converted % | 42.9% | 42.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.7 | 26.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 27.3 | 25.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 77.6% | 57.6% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.8% | 50.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 55% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 32
Apr 27
Denis Shapovalov
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Moez Echargui
Mutua Madrid Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 21
Francesco Maestrelli
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Marco Trungelliti
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Alejandro Tabilo
Rio Open presented by Claro · Round of 16
Feb 18
Dino Prizmic
Rio Open presented by Claro · Round of 32
Feb 17
Vilius Gaubas
Rio Open presented by Claro · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 15
Elmer Moller
Rio Open presented by Claro · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Ignacio Buse
IEB+ Argentina Open · Round of 32
Feb 10
Matchup overview
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer and Francesco Passaro face off in the Quarterfinals at Mouilleron le Captif on Hard.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer leads 2-0 over 2 previous meetings.
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Daniil Medvedev (Apr 27).
Francesco Passaro is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alejandro Tabilo (Feb 18).
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