ATP 250 · Semifinals · Estoril
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kyrgios
🤖 Servebot
Busta
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 8,831 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Nick Kyrgios plays Pablo Carreno Busta.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kyrgios | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.99 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | -8.7% | +21.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.26u | +1.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Kyrgios
0
Busta
Jun 17, 2022
Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jan 5, 2016
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
May 2, 2015
Estoril
C Clay · Semifinals
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kyrgios | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 79.7% | 71.1% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 81% | 70.8% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 40.6% | 51.9% |
| Aces / Match | 15 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Break Points Saved % | 0% | 30.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 15% | 36.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.7% | 52.7% |
| BP Converted % | 83.4% | 42.2% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 33.5 | 20.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 19.5 | 17 |
| Net Pts Won % | 69.8% | 86.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.3% | 52.9% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 0% | 70% |
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Vanda Pharmaceuticals Mallorca Championships · Round of 32
Jun 22
Sho Shimabukuro
BOSS OPEN · Round of 16
Jun 11
Corentin Moutet
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Brisbane International presented by ANZ · Round of 32
Jan 6
Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Masters 1000 Miami · Round of 128
Mar 19
Matchup overview
Nick Kyrgios and Pablo Carreno Busta face off in the Semifinals at Estoril on Clay.
Nick Kyrgios leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Nick Kyrgios is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Adam Walton (Jun 22).
Pablo Carreno Busta is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Rafael Jodar (May 31).
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