Grand Slam · Quarterfinals · Us Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,354 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Naomi Osaka plays Karolina Muchova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.78 | 3.66 |
| ROI % | +74.8% | +244.0% |
| Units P/L | +4.49u | +12.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
3
Osaka
2
Muchova
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Osaka's 60%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 36 46 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 61 62 | L 62 16 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 26 06 |
| Camila Osorio | W 62 75 | W 46 62 75 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 61 46 26 | W 62 64 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 62 | W 63 57 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 62 | W 64 26 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 62 46 16 | W 75 76 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 36 64 | W 60 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 46 62 | W 62 63 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.2% | 66.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 66.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47% | 50.6% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 3.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47% | 60.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 36.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 50.7% |
| BP Converted % | 57.6% | 54.4% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 51.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova face off in the Quarterfinals at Us Open on Hard.
Naomi Osaka leads 3-2 over 5 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 29).
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