WTA 1000 · Round of 32 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,354 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Karolina Muchova plays Naomi Osaka.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Muchova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–1 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 3.66 | 2.78 |
| ROI % | +244.0% | +74.8% |
| Units P/L | +12.20u | +4.49u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
2
Muchova
3
Osaka
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Osaka's 60%).
| Opponent | Muchova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 36 46 | L |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 06 | L 26 16 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 62 16 26 | W 61 62 |
| Camila Osorio | W 46 62 75 | W 62 75 |
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | W 62 64 | L 61 46 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 64 26 64 | W 62 62 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 57 63 | W 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 75 76 | L 62 46 16 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 60 63 | W 63 36 64 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 62 63 | W 63 46 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Muchova | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.7% | 59.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 66.2% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.6% | 47% |
| Aces / Match | 3.5 | 5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 60.1% | 47% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 36.1% | 39% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.7% | 54.7% |
| BP Converted % | 54.4% | 57.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51.1% | 52.1% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 70% | 73% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka face off in the Round of 32 at Madrid on Clay.
Karolina Muchova leads 2-3 over 5 previous meetings.
Karolina Muchova is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Jil Teichmann (May 29).
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
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