WTA 1000 · Final · Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 5,292 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Naomi Osaka plays Daria Kasatkina.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–2 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.78 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +74.8% | -30.9% |
| Units P/L | +4.49u | -2.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Osaka
0
Kasatkina
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kasatkina's 40%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L |
| Laura Siegemund | W | W 62 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 46 76 63 | W 75 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 26 16 | L 75 16 16 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 62 | L 67 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.2% | 71.2% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.2% | 55.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47% | 40.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.1 | 5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 47% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39% | 44.1% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 54.7% | 60.4% |
| BP Converted % | 57.6% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.1% | 50.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Daria Kasatkina face off in the Final at Indian Wells on Hard.
Naomi Osaka leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
Daria Kasatkina is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (May 30).
Share this match
