Grand Slam · Round of 16 · Australian Open
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
👑 The Complete Package
Sevastova
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,261 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Naomi Osaka here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.00 | - |
| ROI % | -100.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 6 career meetings
4
Osaka
2
Sevastova
Jul 27, 2025
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 14, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 16
Dec 31, 2018
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 1, 2018
Beijing
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 12, 2018
Doha
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 7, 2017
Toronto
H Hard · Round of 32
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Sevastova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61% | 0% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.1% | 0% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.9% | 0% |
| Aces / Match | 5.2 | 0 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.7 | 0 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.2% | 0% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 38.2% | 0% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.5% | 0% |
| BP Converted % | 49.5% | 0% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.2% | 0% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Anastasija Sevastova face off in the Round of 16 at Australian Open on Hard.
Naomi Osaka leads 4-2 over 6 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Diana Shnaider (May 5).
Anastasija Sevastova is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Maya Joint (Oct 27).
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