WTA 250 · Final · Osaka
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Pavlyuchenkova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,362 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Naomi Osaka plays Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +54.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +7.67u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Osaka
2
Pavlyuchenkova
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 32
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Sep 16, 2019
Osaka
H Hard · Final
Oct 9, 2017
Hong Kong
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Pavlyuchenkova's 0%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Eva Lys | W 64 46 63 | L 36 46 |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 36 64 | L 67 16 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 46 62 | L 36 16 |
| Amanda Anisimova | L 76 67 36 | L 16 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Pavlyuchenkova |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.6% | 57.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.3% | 50% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 50% |
| Aces / Match | 3.7 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.5% | 50% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 41.8% | 24.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.4% | 61.9% |
| BP Converted % | 67.3% | 16.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.8% | 42.4% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova face off in the Final at Osaka on Hard.
Naomi Osaka leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alexandra Eala (Apr 21).
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