WTA 500 · Quarterfinals · Tokyo
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Sasnovich
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 863 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Naomi Osaka here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osaka | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 0–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | +54.8% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +7.67u | -4.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 5 career meetings
4
Osaka
1
Sasnovich
Sep 24, 2025
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 64
Aug 12, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
May 6, 2019
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Aug 27, 2018
US Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 19, 2016
Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Sasnovich's 29%).
| Opponent | Osaka | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | W | L 67 36 |
| Talia Gibson | L 57 46 | W |
| Karolina Muchova | W 64 76 | L 26 46 |
| Sorana Cirstea | W 63 46 62 | L 36 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 46 76 63 | L 46 46 |
| Clara Tauson | W 62 76 | W 62 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | W 62 62 | L 26 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Osaka | Sasnovich |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.6% | 66.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 65.3% | 63.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.8% | 31.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.7 | 2.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.5% | 46.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 41.8% | 26% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 55.4% | 60.8% |
| BP Converted % | 67.3% | 43.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 52.8% | 44.5% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Naomi Osaka and Aliaksandra Sasnovich face off in the Quarterfinals at Tokyo on Hard.
Naomi Osaka leads 4-1 over 5 previous meetings.
Naomi Osaka is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Aryna Sabalenka (Jun 1).
Aliaksandra Sasnovich is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Magdalena Frech (Jun 13).
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