WTA 1000 · Round of 16 · Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Andreeva
👑 The Complete Package
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 800 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Mirra Andreeva here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Andreeva | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 29–3 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.67 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +41.0% | -28.0% |
| Units P/L | +13.12u | -2.80u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Andreeva
1
Paolini
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 16
May 27, 2024
Roland Garros
C Clay · Semifinals
Apr 22, 2024
Madrid
C Clay · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Andreeva has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Paolini's 40%).
| Opponent | Andreeva | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Marie Bouzkova | W | W 62 75 |
| Solana Sierra | W 60 60 | L 63 46 36 |
| Elise Mertens | W 63 63 | L 64 67 36 |
| Coco Gauff | L 64 26 46 | L 36 26 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 76 63 | W 76 76 |
| Hailey Baptiste | W 64 76 | L 57 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | L 76 36 36 | W 36 62 64 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | W 57 62 64 | L 75 26 57 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 57 16 | L 36 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 36 64 63 | W 61 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Andreeva | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 63.4% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 67.3% | 62.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.8% | 42.7% |
| Aces / Match | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.5 | 2.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 48.2% | 52.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 39.2% | 37.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 57.9% | 48.5% |
| BP Converted % | 51.1% | 28.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 53.7% | 48.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 91% | 45% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Mirra Andreeva and Jasmine Paolini face off in the Round of 16 at Madrid on Clay.
Mirra Andreeva leads 2-1 over 3 previous meetings.
Mirra Andreeva is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Maja Chwalinska (Jun 6).
Jasmine Paolini is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sandy Sierra (May 27).
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