ATP 500 · Round of 32 · Barcelona
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Matteo Arnaldi plays Sebastian Baez.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | +49.9% | -26.9% |
| Units P/L | +9.48u | -4.04u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Arnaldi
0
Baez
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Arnaldi's 0%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | L 36 16 | W 64 62 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 46 | W 76 16 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 46 46 | L 75 36 57 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 36 | L 60 16 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 68.5% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 64.3% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 52.2% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 2.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 56.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 37% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 57.9% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 13.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 35 | 21.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 60.6% | 55.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 52.3% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 68% | 50% |
Last five matches per player
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Sebastian Baez face off in the Round of 32 at Barcelona on Clay.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Giles Hussey (Jun 23).
Sebastian Baez is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Alex Molcan (Jun 7).
Share this match
