Matteo Arnaldi and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2024; Matteo Arnaldi leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at Barcelona (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Baez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,082 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
1 career meeting, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arnaldi | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Matteo Arnaldi | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 10/19 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/16 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 8–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.33 |
| ROI % | +49.9% | -26.9% |
| Units P/L | +9.48u | -4.04u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Arnaldi's 0%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | L 36 16 | W 64 62 |
| Cristian Garin | L 26 46 | W 76 16 75 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 46 46 | L 75 36 57 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 36 | L 60 16 46 |
Last five matches per player
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Molcan
Unicredit Czech Open · Final
Jun 7
Maxim Mrva
Unicredit Czech Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Tristan Boyer
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 16
Jun 3
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Unicredit Czech Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open · Round of 32
May 18
Pablo Carreno Busta
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Roberto Carballes Baena
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–50 matches
| Metric | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 46% |
| Sets won | 50% | 45% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arnaldi | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
