Matteo ArnaldivsLuca Nardi

September 22, 2025H Hard

Match Result

Final score & match stats

#34Matteo Arnaldi[5]

66⁴6

#173Luca Nardi

07⁷3

ArnaldiNardi

1st Serve %59%63%

1st Serve Won60%67%

2nd Serve Won38%59%

Serve Pts Won51%64%

BP Saved6/146/9

Return Pts Won36%49%

Total Pts Won44%56%

Aces35

Double Faults61

Archetype Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Arnaldi

🎯 Baseliner

Precise groundstrokesCourt controlPatient constructionConsistent depth

Nardi

⚙️ Grinder

Relentless consistencyDeep court positioningHigh rally toleranceMental fortitude

Matchup analysis

The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,130 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Matteo Arnaldi here.

Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Arnaldi	Nardi
W-L	12–6	5–5
Avg odds	2.19	1.68
ROI %	+47.1%	-22.0%
Units P/L	+8.47u	-2.20u

Head-to-Head

Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting

Arnaldi

Nardi

Sep 22, 2025

Tokyo

H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying

6⁴7⁷

Arnaldi

Full head-to-head & rivalry stats

Common Opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 1 shared opponent, both Arnaldi and Nardi posted a 0% win rate.

Opponent	Arnaldi	Nardi
Jacob Fearnley	L 57 26	L 64 06 36

Mechanics

Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days

Stat	Arnaldi	Nardi
Serve
1st Serve In %	61.1%	65.3%
1st Serve Pts Won %	64.1%	67.1%
2nd Serve Pts Won %	49%	48.8%
Aces / Match	4.5	3
Double Faults / Match	3.2	3.8
Break Points Saved %	51.4%	58.3%
Return
1st Return Pts Won %	33.4%	36.7%
2nd Return Pts Won %	52.5%	52.8%
BP Converted %	45.6%	44.3%
Rally
Winners / Match	24.1	24.4
Unforced Errors / Match	36.4	41.7
Net Pts Won %	63.4%	64.8%
Total Pts Won %	49.3%	51.4%
Surface (Hard)
Hard Win %	0%	0%