ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 32 · ATP Masters 1000 Miami
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Denis Shapovalov here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | +49.9% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | +9.48u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Arnaldi
1
Shapovalov
Mar 24, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
May 31, 2023
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Arnaldi and Shapovalov posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | W 46 76 64 | L 46 16 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 67 57 64 76 | L 46 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 57 63 62 | W 62 36 64 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 67 63 76 63 | W 64 36 62 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 16 64 36 | W 61 62 |
| Alex Molcan | L 36 16 | L 46 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 36 | L 57 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 46 | W 57 64 63 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 75 64 | W 64 64 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 76 63 | W 63 62 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 15.2 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 35 | 28.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 60.6% | 54.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 32 at ATP Masters 1000 Miami on Hard.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Giles Hussey (Jun 23).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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