Denis Shapovalov and Matteo Arnaldi have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Arnaldi won at ATP Masters 1000 Miami (2024).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
2 career meetings, newest first
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Arnaldi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Matteo Arnaldi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 95% | 18/19 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 53% | 10/19 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 37% | 7/19 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 11% | 2/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/19 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 13–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.21 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -38.1% | +49.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.43u | +9.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Arnaldi posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | W 46 76 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 64 67 57 64 76 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | W 76 57 63 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 36 62 | W 67 63 76 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 61 62 | L 16 64 36 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | L 36 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 36 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 46 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 75 64 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | W 63 62 | W 76 63 |
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
HSBC Championships · Round of 16
Jun 17
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Jack Pinnington Jones
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Jaime Faria
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Mariano Navone
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 7
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open · Round of 64
Apr 25
Alex Molcan
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tallon Griekspoor
BMW Open by Bitpanda · Round of 32
Apr 14
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–46 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 52% |
| Sets won | 48% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
