ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
⚙️ Grinder
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 5,936 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Christopher O'Connell here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–6 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.18 | 2.36 |
| ROI % | +49.9% | -25.3% |
| Units P/L | +9.48u | -3.04u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
1
Arnaldi
1
O'Connell
Apr 25, 2024
ATP Masters 1000 Madrid
C Clay · Round of 128
Apr 23, 2022
Split
C Clay · Semifinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Arnaldi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs O'Connell's 30%).
| Opponent | Arnaldi | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 76 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 64 67 57 64 76 | L 26 26 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 76 57 63 62 | W 64 46 62 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 06 63 46 | L 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 46 76 64 | L 36 46 46 |
| Quentin Halys | L 16 76 67 | L 36 46 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 57 26 | L 67 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 61 57 76 | W 62 63 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 57 26 | L 67 67 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 36 | L 26 26 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | O'Connell |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 59.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 68.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 48.7% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 7.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 57.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 24.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 43.2% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 54% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 25 | 26.1 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 35 | 29.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 60.6% | 61.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 46.4% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 68% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Giles Hussey
Lexus Eastbourne Open · Round of 32
Jun 23
Toby Samuel
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Alastair Gray
Lexus Eastbourne Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 20
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Christopher O'Connell face off in the Round of 128 at ATP Masters 1000 Madrid on Clay.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 1-1 over 2 previous meetings.
Matteo Arnaldi is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Giles Hussey (Jun 23).
Christopher O'Connell is 4-1 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Otto Virtanen (Jun 19).
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