ATP Masters 1000 · Round of 128 · ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arnaldi
🎯 Baseliner
Kovacevic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🎯 Baseliner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,729 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Matteo Arnaldi plays Aleksandar Kovacevic.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Arnaldi | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 7–12 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 2.97 |
| ROI % | +47.1% | +4.4% |
| Units P/L | +8.47u | +0.83u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
3
Arnaldi
0
Kovacevic
Oct 20, 2025
Vienna
H Hard · Round of 32
Mar 6, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 128
Aug 5, 2023
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Arnaldi and Kovacevic posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Arnaldi | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 76 46 46 | L 67 67 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 63 62 57 46 36 | L 46 76 26 |
| Frances Tiafoe | W 76 67 36 76 64 | L 46 63 67 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 16 64 36 | L 16 06 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 36 | L 62 26 67 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 57 26 | L 62 26 36 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | W 64 64 | W 76 76 |
| Quentin Halys | L 16 76 67 | W 62 36 63 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 06 16 | W 26 61 62 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 76 64 | L 46 63 67 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Arnaldi | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.1% | 62.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.1% | 73.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 49% | 54.6% |
| Aces / Match | 4.5 | 7.1 |
| Double Faults / Match | 3.2 | 2.7 |
| Break Points Saved % | 51.4% | 60.7% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 33.4% | 28.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 52.5% | 51.4% |
| BP Converted % | 45.6% | 45.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.1 | 27.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 36.4 | 26.7 |
| Net Pts Won % | 63.4% | 60.1% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.3% | 51.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Frances Tiafoe
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Raphael Collignon
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Tallon Griekspoor
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Yannick Hanfmann
BOSS OPEN · Round of 32
Jun 10
Francisco Cerundolo
HSBC Championships · Round of 32
Jun 9
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Ignacio Buse
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · Semifinals
May 22
Matchup overview
Matteo Arnaldi and Aleksandar Kovacevic face off in the Round of 128 at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on Hard.
Matteo Arnaldi leads 3-0 over 3 previous meetings.
Matteo Arnaldi is 5-0 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Matteo Berrettini (Jun 3).
Aleksandar Kovacevic is 0-5 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (Jun 14).
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