ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Santos Brasil Tennis Cup
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Almeida
⚔️ The Gladiator
Tobon
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 54% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 3,919 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Miguel Tobon here.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Almeida | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.91 |
| ROI % | -13.4% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.61u | +0.97u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Almeida
0
Tobon
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Almeida and Tobon posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Almeida | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Gonzalo Villanueva | L 57 46 | L 06 06 |
| Bruno Kuzuhara | W 63 75 | W 63 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 46 26 | W 63 64 |
| Matias Soto | W 61 61 | L 67 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Almeida | Tobon |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 61.2% | 56.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 62.9% | 67.6% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 48% | 45% |
| Aces / Match | 0.4 | 3.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 46.9% | 48.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 47.7% | 26.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 59.6% | 49.2% |
| BP Converted % | 53.9% | 40.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 8.5 | 10.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29 | 13.5 |
| Net Pts Won % | 75% | 41.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 54% | 47% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 69% | 61% |
Last five matches per player
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Ryan Dickerson
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Martin Krumich
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Yanaki Milev
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Alexander Vasilev
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Round of 32
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Enrico Dalla Valle
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Match summary
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida and Miguel Tobon meet in the quarterfinals of the Santos Brasil Tennis Cup on May 4 on outdoor clay. The two have never faced each other. Pucinelli De Almeida, ranked 410th, arrives with consecutive wins after a sluggish run through his last ten matches. Tobon, ranked 501st, has won four of his last five and sits on a two-match streak of his own.
Both players have logged two matches in the past two weeks. On clay, Miguel Tobon has compiled a 50% win rate over a recent sample; Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's record on the surface stands at 45%. They have split results against common opponents, with Tobon defeating Adolfo Daniel Vallejo while Pucinelli De Almeida fell to him, and Pucinelli De Almeida beating Matias Soto in a match Tobon lost.
Pucinelli De Almeida carries an aggressive baseline game and thrives in prolonged clay rallies. Tobon prefers opportunistic play and capitalizes on opponent mistakes rather than forcing points through power. The match asks whether Tobon's current form sustains against Pucinelli De Almeida's consistent pressure, or whether Pucinelli De Almeida's grinding style can outlast a player who prefers quick resolution.
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