ATP Challenger Tour · Quarterfinals · Challenger Città di Lugano
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Dodig
💥 Big Hitter
Kjaer
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Matej Dodig and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit. Across 6,218 matches in our dataset, the historical split is about even.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Dodig | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.11 | 1.88 |
| ROI % | -41.5% | -32.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.49u | -4.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Dodig
0
Kjaer
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kjaer has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Dodig's 44%).
| Opponent | Dodig | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| August Holmgren | L 67 63 36 | L 06 67 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Jakub Paul | W 75 61 | W 67 61 64 |
| Jan Choinski | L 46 57 | W 64 76 |
| Alex Molcan | L 36 06 | W 61 62 |
| Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg | L 46 26 | W 76 67 62 |
| Alexandr Binda | W 76 64 | W 64 63 |
| Hugo Gaston | L 63 36 36 | L 46 63 16 |
| Francesco Passaro | W 63 64 | W 64 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Dodig | Kjaer |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 59.1% | 63.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.2% | 64.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 47.1% | 47.3% |
| Aces / Match | 3.2 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.8% | 54.3% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 24.4% | 32.4% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 51.1% | 49.9% |
| BP Converted % | 30% | 38.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26 | 14.7 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34 | 27 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 65.2% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49% | 48.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 14
August Holmgren
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Mackenzie McDonald
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Tom Gentzsch
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 24
Matchup overview
Matej Dodig and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer face off in the Quarterfinals at Challenger Città di Lugano on Hard.
Matej Dodig leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Matej Dodig is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Carlos Sanchez Jover (Jun 9).
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Mackenzie McDonald (Jun 14).
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