Grand Slam · French Open
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kostyuk
🪃 Counterpuncher
Swiatek
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 66% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,222 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Iga Swiatek here.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kostyuk | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–0 | 5–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | +54.5% | +45.4% |
| Units P/L | +1.09u | +2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
0
Kostyuk
3
Swiatek
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Swiatek's 56%).
| Opponent | Kostyuk | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Jessica Pegula | W 61 64 | W 61 62 |
| Caty Mcnally | W 62 63 | W 61 67 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W 62 16 61 | W 61 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 75 | L 63 46 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 46 | L 57 16 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 62 26 46 | W 62 60 |
| Daria Kasatkina | W 36 63 76 | W 57 61 61 |
| Amanda Anisimova | W 64 63 | L 76 46 26 |
| Emma Navarro | L 26 57 | L 46 64 06 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Kostyuk | Swiatek |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 58% | 64.3% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.5% | 70.9% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.7% | 53.8% |
| Aces / Match | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 54.9% | 63.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 44.3% | 41.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 64.1% | 68% |
| BP Converted % | 53.6% | 55.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 0 | 0 |
| Net Pts Won % | 0% | 0% |
| Total Pts Won % | 56.1% | 58% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 100% | 80% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Marta Kostyuk arrives at Roland Garros on May 31 riding a 12-match winning streak, while world number 3 Iga Swiatek seeks to reassert herself on clay after a recent loss. Kostyuk ranks 23rd; both will compete on the outdoor clay surface.
Swiatek leads their head-to-head record 3-0, though Kostyuk's form has shifted considerably since those meetings. Over their last 10 matches, Kostyuk has won all 10, while Swiatek has won 6 of her last 10 and dropped her most recent match. Against common opponents, the two have split results, with Kostyuk defeating Amanda Anisimova and Mirra Andreeva while Swiatek beat Karolina Muchova.
Kostyuk operates as a counterpuncher, constructing points from the baseline and feeding off her opponent's pace; she has posted a 17-3 record on clay. Iga Swiatek plays a more complete game across all court zones and holds a 15-5 clay record. The question becomes whether Kostyuk's timing and consistency can disrupt Swiatek's rhythm after 39 days away, or whether Swiatek's range and aggression will overwhelm a returning player.
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